5 locks of the week for week 3
These college football picks and top bets are sure to arrive in week 3 of the 2021 season, as we’re ready to call them our locks of the week.
It might just be a bit of luck at the start of the season, but our best college football bets and lockdown hit a big clip entering a week 3 roster that has huge games, a few of which seem be ripe to be taken when you look at the odds.
For two weeks – including a pack of top 10 bets in week 1 – we sat with a 10-5 record with our locks. Yes, we only went 3-2 last week (thank you so much Texas A&M), but a 7-3 start to the season significantly strengthens our record. As such, we’re looking to stay warm and stay well above that 0.500 line for the 2021 season as we take a look at the college football odds for week 3.
Featuring a few big hitters from the slate, these are the best bets and locks for week 3 of college football that you can bring to the bank. (Note: All odds are courtesy of WynnBet.)
College football’s best bets, picks and locks for week 3
5. Best bets in college football: Auburn vs. Penn State (-6.0)
If you just look at the raw numbers Auburn would be an underdog, that would look crazy. The Tigers scored 61.0 points per game while allowing 5.0 points per game against Penn State averaging 30.0 points per game and 11.5 points per game. But when you consider then that the Nittany Lions have a victory over Wisconsin as Bryan Harsin’s side faced Akron and Alabama State, those numbers mean nothing.
The longstanding premise of Bo Nix fading against good defenses remains fully intact and Penn State is a damn good defensive unit. Additionally, while Auburn’s defense is no slouch, the Nittany Lions have enough weapons to break through multiple times. The only thing that gives me pause are Sean Clifford’s tendencies towards error, but I still trust him more than Nix.
4. Best bets on college football: SMU (-13.0) vs. Louisiana Tech
While not against the best competition, Oklahoma transfer quarterback Tanner Mordecai and running back Ulysses Bentley IV led SMU to an impressive start to the season with 45.5 points per game en route to 2-0. . Meanwhile, they visit a Louisiana Tech team who fought well with the state of Mississippi but lost and then managed Southeast Louisiana.
All in all, the Mustangs are just the best team in this game and it’s not that close. I don’t believe a Bulldogs defense that allowed 38.5 points per game can stop that SMU attack consistently enough to keep it within two TDs at the end of the four quarters.
3. New Mexico vs. Texas A&M – Under 50.5
Why the hell is this point total set at 50.5 points? For starters, it’s entirely conceivable that New Mexico wouldn’t score in this game. The Lobos are 2-0 averaging 30.5 points per game, but it happened against Houston Baptist and New Mexico State. It doesn’t bode well for them.
More importantly, Zach Calzada starts off for injured Haynes King as the head of the Aggies offense and, frankly, he looked bad against Colorado. Texas A&M should be able to move the ball against New Mexico, but the wait should be a heavy dose of running play that slows the pace and doesn’t approach 50.5 points overall.
2. Alabama (-15.0) vs. Florida
Betting on a top-15 game always gives me some trepidation, but I’m confident enough in Alabama to put that aside. Crimson Tide’s offense might not be perfect with Bryce Young, but the talent is undeniable and their line is good enough to keep Florida at bay to allow them to do just about anything they want so badly. that they don’t make mistakes.
The key factor here, however, is that the Gators continue to pitch Emory Jones, who limits the offense more than Anthony Richardson would. Going forward, in the face of this elite defense from Alabama, my belief is that Florida is struggling to move the ball and even if they move late to Richardson, it will be too late for them to finish. by cover.
1. Tulsa v Ohio State (-24.5)
Things didn’t go well for the Buckeyes to start the season after a scare at Minnesota and a loss to Oregon at home. Do you think this could possibly start a fire under Ryan Day and his team? It has all the makings of a statement game that gets really out of hand.
At the very least, CJ Stroud has proven he can throw a ton of offense and, if Ohio State can involve the running game, this group is dangerous. Against a team from Tulsa who are 0-2 with losses to UC-Davis and Oklahoma State and who are averaging 20.0 points per game. This is an opportunity for the Buckeyes to succeed and they will do it with aplomb.
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